Articles in this document:

 

·          Tyson’s Chicken Line Lags

·          Biofuels, Poultry Firms at Odds / Pinched Va. Growers Join Push Asking Congress to Cut Ethanol-Use Mandate

·          The corn conundrum: Which should come first, the chicken or the Chevy?

 

 

Tyson’s Chicken Line Lags

 

By Kim Souza

The Morning News - Arkansas

July 29, 2008

 

SPRINGDALEThe chicken business has seen better times, and a turnaround is not expected soon, according to Tyson Foods Inc., which said its beef and pork segments are keeping the ship afloat during this challenging business climate.

 

The world’s largest meat company reported its third-quarter net income tumbled more than

 

90 percent in the year-over-year period, due primarily to rising grain costs. Tyson Foods also had two charges in the quarter totaling $13 million in operating income losses. Recent flooding in Wisconsin cost the company $7 million in plant damage, while Tyson Foods spent $6 million renovating a chicken plant in Memphis, Tenn.

 

Tyson Foods reported net income of $9 million or 3 cents per share earned in the quarter, compared with $111 million or 31 cents per share a year ago.

 

The third-quarter results disappointed Wall Street analysts, who had predicted an average 12-cent per share return, sending the company’s stock price down 7 percent in heavy trading.

 

Shares of Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN) closed Monday at $15.09, down $1.14.

 

Analysts agree meatpacker stocks are not for the faint of heart.

 

Morningstar analyst Ann Gilpin recently raised her uncertainty rating on Tyson Foods and other poultry companies, citing more downside potential in share prices. She rates the stock a hold with a fair market value of $14.

 

Tyson Foods CEO Dick Bond told investors during a Monday morning conference call that the meat giant would see deeper chicken losses in the fourth quarter as it expects to absorb $200 million in added grain costs. He said further chicken losses will be offset by higher beef and pork profits in the fiscal fourth quarter ending Sept. 30.

 

In the recent quarter, Tyson Foods reported a $44 million loss in its chicken operating income, compared to $95 million it earned a year earlier. Chicken sales totaled $2.25 billion in the quarter, up 9 percent from $2.06 billion a year ago. The uptick in sales related to 7 percent higher pricing and 2 percent in added volume.

 

Sagging prices also hurt chicken segment profits. Average wholesale boneless breast prices averaged between $1.30 and $1.40 per pound in the quarter, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture.

 

Industry analysts estimate boneless breast pricing would need to be between $1.90 to $2 per pound before chicken processors could return to profitability.

 

“While chicken continues to be challenging, we believe in our long term strategies and our diversified business model,” Bond said during the call.

 

Earlier this year, the company announced plans to spend $130 million in 2008 capital, employing cost saving measures and increasing operating efficiencies in its chicken segment.

 

Jonathan Feeney, analyst with Wachovia, asked Bond if now is a good time to be spending, when the company could bank its cash flow as a buffer against further losses in the chicken segment.

 

Bond said Tyson Foods will reap about $250 million in added operating revenue in fiscal 2009 from the $130 million spent this year.

 

“I believe our long-term strategies will increase shareholder value in due time,” Bond said.

 

The beef and pork segments are profitable today in part because of similar efficiencies made in those segments in recent years, he said.

 

A bright spot in the quarter was Tyson’s beef segment, reporting $3 million in beef operating income. Bond told investors the beef results were actually better, but a $75 million mark-to-market accounting procedure relating to the company’s forward cattle futures’ contracts disguised the results.

 

Tim Ramey, analyst with D.A. Davidson & Co., estimates the $75 million accounting procedure to be worth roughly 14 cents per share unrealized in the quarter.

 

Bond said the $75 million charge is a paper loss and will be recovered in the fourth quarter when the company takes possession of the cattle for slaughter. He said the market conditions are ripe for a “blockbuster fourth quarter in beef.”

 

In the recent quarter, Tyson Foods entered a contract to sell its Canadian beef facility to Canada-based X.L. Foods Inc. The sale will result in approximately $200 million in added income during the fourth quarter. Another $20 million is expected in fiscal 2009, and $49 million will be paid out over the two next years, the company said. Tyson Foods said it will also receive $30 million in preferred stock of X.L. Foods.

 

Bond said beef profits are expected to improve in the fiscal fourth quarter as South Korean exports have resumed this week. He said that demand is good for orders out 30 to 60 days.

 

Tyson Foods’ pork operating profits were $54 million, up 45 percent from $37 million a year ago. The segment outlook is positive, according to Bond, who said exports to Japan and Mexico remain strong and sow liquidation is not expected to hinder hog supply for another 10 months.

 

The company’s prepared foods segment reported operating income of $6 million, down 76 percent from $26 million in the year-ago period. These results included a $7 million charge from flooding damage and higher costs of commodity prices.

 

swtimes.com

 

Biofuels, Poultry Firms at Odds / Pinched Va. Growers Join Push Asking Congress to Cut Ethanol-Use Mandate

 

The Washington Post

31 July 2008

via RedOrbit

 

Soaring corn and soybean feed costs are squeezing some of the big poultry companies that employ thousands of farmers and workers in Virginia and on the Delmarva Peninsula. Harvest shortfalls, global demand, the recent Midwest floods and the government's mandate for ethanol production have more than doubled the price of corn and soybeans over the past two years.

 

"This is probably the worst I've seen it ever," said Gary Lohr, who at 64 has been growing chickens on Valley Pike Farm in Rockingham County for nearly 50 years. "Everything across the board has gone up."

 

The pinch has led the meat industry to urge Congress to help lessen the demand for the crops by easing a renewable fuel standard passed by congressional Democrats and signed by President Bush late last year. The legislation mandates that 15 billion gallons of corn- based ethanol, or about 10 percent of motor fuel, be used by 2015.

 

Texas Gov. Rick Perry, a Republican, has filed a petition with the Environmental Protection Agency to cut the requirement in half, and Virginia poultry growers and others have lined up in support of him.

 

On the other side are the renewable fuels lobby and corn farmers, who say that gasoline prices are the biggest factor in increasing food costs and that easing the mandate would exacerbate those costs for all Americans. A decision on the governor's petition is expected by the agency in August.

 

The outcome weighs heavily here. Towering above the rail tracks that traverse Harrisonburg are the feed mills for some of the biggest poultry companies in the country: Pilgrim's Pride, Cargill and Tyson Foods. The Virginia Poultry Growers Cooperative, a worker- owned turkey producer, was founded in nearby Hinton in 2004.

 

Every day cargo trains bring tons of the Midwest soybeans and corn that provide a fresh diet for the valley's hun- gry beaks. At the Pilgrim's Pride mill, truck after truck lines up to carry the meal to the 240 chicken farms that grow the company's birds.

 

Pilgrim's posted a $111.5 million loss in the first quarter of the year, attributing the decline largely to higher feed costs and an inability to push up prices because of an oversupply of chickens. The company's stock has lost 67 percent of its value since August. In April, Pilgrim's said it would reduce production by 5 percent to decrease the bird supply and pass on costs to consumers.

 

As of June, meats such as beef and pork had risen 1 percent compared with the same month last year. The price for poultry rose 2.8 percent in the same span.

 

When it can, Pilgrim's is also shortening contracts with grocers, restaurants and others from a year to 90 days, so that it can respond faster to rising prices in the months to come, said Ray Atkinson, a spokesman.

 

Tyson Foods, which has scaled back operations in recent years, was not planning additional cuts, though it is raising prices, said Gary Mickelson, a company spokesman.

 

Privately held Perdue, based in Salisbury, Md., initiated production cuts last year, said spokeswoman Julie DeYoung. She declined to say how steep the cuts were but said the company is also seeking to raise prices and shorten its contracts.

 

The board of directors of Hinton's turkey cooperative announced a 25 percent production cut July 10, said James Mason, the president and general manager of the cooperative.

 

Poultry companies in Shenandoah supported about 900 farmers and employed more than 5,000 workers in 2007, according to the Virginia Poultry Federation, a trade association.

 

On Delmarva, poultry operations supported about 1,900 farmers and nearly 15,000 workers last year, according to the Delmarva Poultry Industry.

 

Originally published by LAZO; The Washington Post.

Source: Richmond Times - Dispatch

 

redorbit.com

 

The corn conundrum: Which should come first, the chicken or the Chevy?

 

by Barbara Murray, July 30th, 2008, 6:00 am

Bizmology

 

Native North Americans believed in the Corn Mother (the first woman to bear offspring, a kind of Eve).  After the white man took over and tamed North America, corn became the Midwest’s gift to the country and the world – year after year of bounteous corn crops grown on rich farmland fed us and almost everyone else.

 

Now corn is a high-priced double whammy.  At least it appears that way to the average American consumer progressing through an average weekend.

 

First, on the average American’s to-do list for the weekend: gas up the car.  We all know the story on that. Suffice it to say the price of gas is out of sight. (Hummers, and even your run-of-the-mill SUVs are the dinosaurs of the auto industry — big galoots doomed to extinction but that’s another blog.)

 

Then on to filling the fridge for the week.  A fryer from the supermarket, a gallon of milk from the convenience store – it doesn’t matter where you go. It’s costing more.  And if our average American decides to see a movie  alas, even the popcorn at the theatre, never a bargain in the best of times, costs more.

 

What does corn have to do with all this? Lots. You see, in December 2007 the federal government passed an energy bill mandating that ever larger amounts of ethanol be used to run our vehicles. The bill was passed with seemingly good intentions (if not outcome). It was meant to reduce the US’s dependence on foreign oil and to help curb global warming.

 

But our lawmakers forgot to take into account that the product of choice for making ethanol in the US is corn, as in an ingredient that food manufacturers large and small turn into Aunt Jemima Syrup, Froot Loops, Fritos and hundreds, if not thousands, of other products. (There are other options for ethanol production. Brazil, for instance, makes it from sugar cane, probably no better a choice, as it is a food crop as well. But   ethanol can be made from agricultural byproducts such as corncobs, straw and sawdust. Kraft and General Mills don’t use much of those in their plants, at least I hope not.)

 

Corn farmers supported the bill of course, but hey, here was a chance to make some extra income. The law awarded farmers money for every bushel of corn that was used for ethanol production. Ethanol manufacturers (everyone from agricultural giant, Archer Daniels Midland – the #1 ethanol producer in the world — to small newly formed companies created to take advantage of the government’s largesse) became preferred corn farmers’ customers, at the expense of long-time corn users/customers such as dairy and poultry farmers, beef ranchers who use corn for animal feed, and food and food-ingredient manufacturers who use corn for people feed.

 

(Big oil companies like Exxon are trying to fight back the ethanol scourge, no matter what it’s made from,  but they seem to have lost their influence in this debate.)

 

The double whammy (a whammy we’ve smacked our own selves over the head with) is this:  We use corn to make foods we eat, we use corn to fill the fuel tanks of our cars and trucks.  Food vs. fuel. 

 

It’s not nice to try to fool Mother Corn. She’s known for millennia what corn is for. It’s for sustenance.  It’s for eating. It is her gift to us, a gift of food — for human, not transportation, systems.

 

bizmology.com